CME FedWatch - CME Group
CME FedWatch is a tool that shows the likelihood of FOMC rate changes based on 30-Day Fed Funds futures prices. Learn how to use it, access related research and courses, and subscribe to updates on interest rate markets.
CME FedWatch Tool User Guide - CME Group
The CME FedWatch Tool analyzes the probability of FOMC rate moves for upcoming meetings based on Fed Fund futures pricing data. It also shows the Fed’s Dot Plot, which reflects FOMC members’ expectations for the Fed target rate over time.
Fed Rate Hikes: Expectations and Reality - CME Group
Feb 2, 2022 · How accurately have investors anticipated past Fed tightening cycles? The web page shows that Fed Funds futures have underestimated the actual number of rate hikes by 75-175bps in every cycle since 1994.
30 Day Federal Funds Overview - CME Group
Learn how to trade 30-Day Fed Funds futures and options, a tool for hedging short-term interest rate risk and reflecting market expectations of Fed policy. Access CME Group resources, insights, and tools for Fed Funds and other STIR products.
Why The FedWatch Tool Became a Key Interest Rates Indicator
Jun 20, 2023 · FedWatch is a tool from CME Group that uses Fed Funds futures prices to display probabilities of FOMC rate outcomes. Learn how traders, analysts and media use FedWatch to predict the future of U.S monetary policy and its impact on the economy and markets.
Understanding the CME Group FedWatch Tool Methodology
Aug 30, 2024 · Learn how the FedWatch Tool calculates probabilities of Fed rate moves based on Fed Funds futures prices and assumptions. See an example of the calculation model and the binary probability tree for upcoming FOMC meetings.
Using Fed Fund futures to trade the FOMC decisions
Mar 18, 2022 · Early market consensus is that the FOMC will raise the Fed Fund target rate. Learn how Fed Fund futures can help you manage related positions.
10-Year T-Note Overview - CME Group
Learn about the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note futures contract, a benchmark for interest rate hedging, basis trading, and curve trading. Find contract specs, trading hours, margin offsets, spreads, and more.
Rising Fed Rate Hike Expectations - CME Group
Nov 2, 2021 · Watch a 3-minute video on how inflation and asset purchases affect the odds of Fed rate hikes. Learn how to use interest rate futures and options to manage exposure to government bonds and money market securities.
Introduction to the CME FedWatch Tool - CME Group
Learn how to use the CME FedWatch Tool to gauge the market's probability of potential changes in the fed funds rate based on 30-day Fed Fund Futures contracts. Compare the FOMC's dot plot projections with the futures market's implied rate and see …